ZB00N
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 Posted: Thu Jul 31, 2008 5:41 am Post subject: Climate Models Fairly Reliable Except For . |
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It>s Not Just The Cooling That Contradicts The IPCC
July 31, 2008
Christopher Monckton, in between tearing Gavin Schmidt of RealClimate to
bits, lists all the climate changes the IPCC>s alarmist global warming
models failed to predict:
The models had not projected the current multidecadal stasis in "global
warming": no rise in temperatures since 1998; falling temperatures since
late 2001; temperatures not expected to set a new record until 2015
(Keenlyside et al., 2008).
Nor (until trained ex post facto) did they predict the fall in TS from
1940-1975; nor 50 years' cooling in Antarctica (Doran et al., 2002) and
the Arctic (Soon, 2005); nor the absence of ocean warming since 2003
(Lyman et al., 2006; Gouretski & Koltermann, 2007); nor the behavior of
the great ocean oscillations (Lindzen, 2007), nor the magnitude nor
duration of multi-century events such as the Mediaeval Warm Period or
the Little Ice Age; nor the decline since 2000 in atmospheric methane
concentration (IPCC, 2007); nor the active 2004 hurricane season; nor
the inactive subsequent seasons; nor the UK flooding of 2007 (the Met
Office had forecast a summer of prolonged droughts only six weeks
previously); nor the solar Grand Maximum of the past 70 years, during
which the Sun was more active, for longer, than at almost any similar
period in the past 11,400 years (Hathaway, 2004; Solanki et al., 2005);
nor the consequent surface "global warming" on Mars, Jupiter, Neptune>s
largest moon, and even distant Pluto; nor the eerily-continuing 2006
solar minimum; or the consequent, precipitate decline of ~0.8 °C in
surface temperature from January 2007 to May 2008 that has canceled out
almost all of the observed warming of the 20th century.
Other than that, the models are fairly reliable.
Except, that is, when they aren>t.
http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/its_not_just_the_cooling_that_contradicts_the_ipcc/
--
Warmest Regards
Bonzo
". researchers at the Max Planck Institute for Solar Research in Germany
report the sun has been burning more brightly over the last 60 years,
accounting for the 1 degree Celsius increase in Earth>s temperature over
the last 100 years."
http://ibdeditorial.com/IBDArticles.aspx?id=287279412587175 |
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